The NFL is a snow globe league. Things change rapidly, from day to day, week to week, even minute to minute on game day. Ask Raiders, Ravens and Browns fans how they’re feeling this week. Today’s task is to recreate a fantasy league that theoretically starts in week 3. Some selections may seem too reactionary to you, and others may not feel reactionary. So we have a game.
The constant goal is to adjust to new realities quicker than our opponents and do the best we can to understand what is signal and what is just noise.
I am on the clock for the next 24 picks. Assume a 12-team, half-point PPR league.
It’s an ugly start for the Colts, but Taylor has been fine. He’s capable of playing in all packages, and Indianapolis’ offensive line shouldn’t be a problem. As amazing as the league’s talent is now, I still think it’s most likely to end up with a stab in the back because RB1 makes sense at this spot.
Everyone reasonably expected regression after Kupp broke football last year, but probably no one has solved the Kupp matrix yet. It is extremely rare to land a player who offers the weekly ceiling and floor offered by Kupp. obviously, Matthew Stafford Elbow problems are no big deal.
Minnesota didn’t do much right on Monday, but credit Philadelphia for it. I still expect the Kevin O’Connell hire to be a spectacular spike for Jefferson’s value, and that Jefferson was already an overlord under the previous, dated regime.
call this team Buffalo Springfield, it’s an absolute put pressure on, Tennessee is a team with issues, but Buffalo made them look like a junior college team on Monday. Diggs is tied to a franchise quarterback, and although the Bills have strong depth on skill places in the offense, Diggs is special enough to garner huge market share most weeks.
5. Ja’Mar Chase, WR, Bengals
The Bengals invested in their offbeat offensive line, but the offensive lines need time to go to jail. It obviously hasn’t happened yet, but it will happen. I’m still ready to follow who bur Chase is able to win anywhere, and everywhere on the field. Any pass from Chase can turn into a highlight-film touchdown, and he has the perfect mix of athleticism, wit, and swagger. He knows he cannot be covered.
I saw Barkley as a reactive (not proactive) second-round pick over the summer, which clearly looks wrong now. The Giants finally have an adult in the coaching room, and offense needs to flow through Barkley to offset the vulnerable receiving group. Maybe Barkley’s upside isn’t what it was in his early years, but it’s still very much there – and only health can throw off his strong floor (you could say that for any race). If you want to raise Barkley even higher, I won’t fight you.
He’s been fine for two weeks, not very well. i expected that baker mayfield The quarterback will have a notable upgrade; So far, that hasn’t happened. Maybe Matt Roulette is in over his head. An early running-back pick is a bet on infrastructure, and Carolina’s existing infrastructure has me worried.
He absorbed all the goals in Week 1, and achieved hardly any goals in Week 2. They will complete it. I cry of the Rodgers-to-Adams poem that we no longer have, but Derek Carey knows where his bread is butter. The Raiders are also coming out of a loss, which is all the more reason to fix the use of the dazzling Week 2 Adams.
I still don’t know if Tua Tagovailoa Really nice. but with Hill and Jaylen Waddle Past opponents running like they’re traffic cones, I’m not sure it matters. Hill doesn’t get enough credit for being maneuverable on medium and short routes; He’s a defensive nightmare no matter what pattern he’s following. Miami has shifted to an attacking passing model, which is what you do after you acquire Hill.
10. Joe Mixon, RB, Bengals
He is an undeniable bell cow and as I said in the chase section, I expect the Bengals to figure out the offensive line. But I also can’t shake the fear that the Bengals made the Super Bowl despite Jack Taylor, not because of him.
11. Austin Eckeler, RB, Chargers
He had three touchdowns (in just 10 games) in 2020 under the old coaching staff. Ekeler spiked 20 times last year, though his use may have been taken away from the team. Where does proper adjustment take place in the middle? However, a featured back on a plus offense has to land somewhere, in the first round.
12. Dalvin Cook, RB, Vikings
Last year his target per yard was significantly reduced and it is still low in 2022. If Cook wants to have first-round real estate, he needs to become a multi-dimensional weapon.
13. Aaron Jones, RB, Packers
He was used comically in the opener, but credit to Matt LaFleur – he owned the mistake and corrected it in Week 2. AJ Dillon There’s also a capable player, but he’s Robin in this backfield – Jones is Batman.
14. AJ Brown, WR, Eagles
Many things are coming out the eagle – the offensive line is a monster, Jalen Hurts is improved, skill talent is excellent, very easy to schedule, But the team also recognizes Brown as the true alpha in an offense full of plus pass catchers, and I can’t wait to see what Brown does now that he’s finally going to get a goal count commensurate with his talent. .
15. Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Lions
Man, was he wrong in the summer draft, even among his industry supporters (and I was one of them). St. Brown has proved that a rush-hour offense isn’t going to stop him, and his skill set matches perfectly Jared Goff does well. Glory to all the Sun Gods.
16. Travis Keels, TE, Chiefs
The tight end position is constantly filled with trap doors and false promises (my.) Cole Kmet share wave hello), so I understand if you want to grab the vanity option early. Mark Andrews Ultimately it didn’t make the list, but he also deserves second round consideration.
17. Nick Chubb, RB, Browns
The prettiest runner in the game today, and Brown knows he has to win with a controlled offense and plus defense. I wish Brown would let Chub catch 50 passes a year, something he’s capable of — and deserved to do — but deep in the game, we have to admit it’s never going to happen.
18. D’Andre Swift, RB, Lions
Detroit is the NFL’s funhouse right now—they score on everyone, they can’t stop anyone—and the Swifts are a big part of what they do. but with Jamal Williams The owner of the goal-line role, Swift makes more sense in the second round.
19. Leonard Fournet, RB, Buccaneers
Tampa Bay may be taking a step down the class in the end, but Fournette’s role is meaty and there’s too much talent for this team not to win the NFC South by accident. Bell cows are almost extinct, so enjoy Lenny while he’s still playing.
20. Jevont Williams, RB, Broncos
melvin gordon Not going to disappear, but Williams is clearly the better receiver, and he should be a special sprinter too. There was a goal-line fault in both backs in the opener, and Williams was open for a touchdown last week but Russell Wilson didn’t see him. I understand the reservations about Wilson’s slow start and Nathaniel Hackett’s growing pains, but I’m still giving this offense the benefit of the doubt. Williams doesn’t have a clear floor for this location, but I’ll swing upside down.
21. Naji Harris, RB, Steelers
Yes, I have kept him as if I don’t want him on my roster. This is appropriate. Harris is a fast and a compiler, but may not have any special traits. don’t know how soon Kenny Pickett Will be ready to play, but he can’t be worse Mitch Trubisky,
22. Derrick Henry, RB, Titans
so many arrows pointed in the wrong direction – Team has been destroyed, carries added, attrition is an issue. And Henry is never going to be much of a receiver. If you don’t look at Tennessee with a winning record (and I’m sure not), Henry isn’t anywhere close to a first round.
23. Jaylen Waddell, WR, Dolphins
It was disappointing to see Waddell in a small and horizontal role last year, commenting not on him but on his quarterback and coaching staff. This year the Dolphins are ripping it down, and Waddle has emphatically proved that he can win on chunk plays. Hill and Waddle received this draft as real estate deservedly because the team’s target distribution is heavily weighted towards them.
24. Deebo Samuel, WR, 49ers
He’s keeping a good chunk of the role he played last year, and the San Francisco downfield passing game gets a clear upgrade from the green Trey Lance to experience Jimmy Garoppolo, I ranked Samuel below Wadle because the Niners have more competition for the ball.
Just missed (in no particular order): Michael Pittman, Mike Williams, Mark Andrews, T Higgins, James Conner.